Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 3.743666 4.318766 4.949566 5.692385 6.542808 7.485650 8.609936
2025-01-19 2.763254 3.472230 4.315131 5.389663 6.721717 8.317516 10.373415
2025-01-26 2.317932 3.137076 4.181308 5.606743 7.498633 9.920139 13.251948
2025-02-02 2.046215 2.958390 4.195446 5.989387 8.517849 11.947385 16.945406
2025-02-09 1.758609 2.700257 4.051157 6.120554 9.199836 13.600099 20.352055
2025-02-16 1.517857 2.462802 3.889999 6.188364 9.781234 15.163839 23.817038
2025-02-23 1.275872 2.179747 3.612017 6.028384 9.982475 16.170753 26.555986
2025-03-02 1.058866 1.898896 3.291288 5.744922 9.935054 16.764797 28.693101
2025-03-09 0.937513 1.758093 3.175724 5.775648 10.392394 18.201855 32.345969
2025-03-16 0.809117 1.583800 2.976274 5.629482 10.519570 19.088449 35.152737
2025-03-23 0.765121 1.557307 3.033486 5.945320 11.495954 21.537057 40.955794
2025-03-30 0.713945 1.508719 3.041826 6.167991 12.322197 23.798536 46.659828
2025-04-06 0.640997 1.408799 2.944330 6.185638 12.783822 25.482165 51.565772
2025-04-13 0.543874 1.243800 2.695600 5.868967 12.550262 25.822111 53.935247
2025-04-20 0.511684 1.213297 2.717664 6.111688 13.478938 28.537956 61.334160
2025-04-27 0.496872 1.219208 2.817288 6.531993 14.830227 32.254100 71.201143
2025-05-04 0.461377 1.171709 2.793370 6.677240 15.605888 34.862533 79.036578
2025-05-11 0.424727 1.115581 2.741975 6.752540 16.233918 37.222715 86.598256
2025-05-18 0.376500 1.023050 2.592923 6.579296 16.271469 38.294059 91.422342
2025-05-25 0.326730 0.918285 2.399378 6.271212 15.949685 38.515124 94.321475
2025-06-01 0.301213 0.873427 2.347292 6.304945 16.453942 40.683671 101.987842
2025-06-08 0.268978 0.805024 2.225891 6.145964 16.460867 41.680906 106.970084
2025-06-15 0.262811 0.808961 2.293856 6.489933 17.785176 45.989119 120.492345